Interesting Novice Chase

A very poor day on Sunday with both selections failing to win.  Khazium ran ok to finish 2^nd but I was expecting more. That was probably his level and  I expect he will be place to win a little juvenile by his trainer. Oscar Prairie was subject of a huge gamble and was never travelling after a mistake at the first. I don’t mind the odd gamble going astray but if I look back at my records for this season the majority of the ones I have been involved in have failed to deliver, hence the reason I am still showing a loss on the year. Nothing has been of interest in the past couple of days but that is different at Perth today where there is an exceptional novice chase for this time of year and I expect it to throw up a number of future winners.

P&L for 2012 -7.44

Perth  3.20  The Tracey Shuffle 0.5PT E/W @ 7/2PP(Fell 2nd 6/4F)

For the time of year this is a really good novice chase with warm favourite Carlito Brigante the class act, being rated 157 at his best over hurdles. He made a winning chase debut back in May, but was very disappointing on his next run and on that basis I am going to take a chance with The Tracey Shuffle who David Pipe sends him all the way from Devon. He was a fairly decent novice hurdler last season winning one and finishing 3^rd in competitive hurdle at Punchestown.  Provided he takes to the fences then I cannot see him being out of the first three and if the favourite puts in another poor performance then the race could be for the taking.2nd gamble of the week to go astray and to rub salt into the wound Aneyeforaneye who was a blog selection last time shows greats battling qualities to put a lifetime best performance in winning.

Significant Jockey Booking

Four bets since the blog returned and its proving to be a frustrating time once again with three seconds and a third. Yesterday Alfraasey was a little disappointing as I thought with the weight allowance he wouldn’t be swept aside as easy as he was by He’s Our Lad, who is clearly on the upgrade. On to today and two meetings at Perth and Worcester and there is one selection at Worcester.

P&L for 2012 -9.42

Worcester 4.50 Red Not Blue   1PT WIN @ 6/4 PP (1st 6/4F)

The booking of Tony McCoy for Red Not Blue looks significant and assuming his fall last time has not dented his confidence he looks a horse with the class to defy his penalty in a field of generally disappointing rivals.  A winner of five handicap hurdles Red Not Blue made a winning chase debut back in June at Hereford jumping really well, before falling at the second last on his next run at Southwell, when upside a good yardstick and eventual winner Shoegazer. The slight drop back in trip today is a plus as all his best form is at distances short of three miles. Jumped ok, led from 6 out but had to be driven out after last to make sure,

One For This Evening

Two meetings today at  Perth and an evening meeting at  Market Rasen and there is one selection in the novice chase this evening

P&L for 2012 -7.42 

Market Rasen 6.40 Aneyeforaneye   1PT WIN @ 9/4 B365 (2nd 11/4)

Aneyeforaneye is a fairly useful mare in her grade and showed an improved level of form when winning on her novice chasing debut at Uttoxeter recently beating good yardstick in the 128+ rated Geneva Geyser. Having watched the race back again a couple of times she actual won by a very easy neck with the jockey only resorting to the whip once on the run in.  If she turns up in the same vain of form this evening I think she should be able to defy her 6lb penalty.
Failed by a length to peg back heavily gambled on favourite after being hampered when race turned into a sprint from 3 out.

Delayed Return

Unfortunately due to the deterioration  in the ground at Perth there is now no selection today.

P&L for 2012 -5.42