Monday 5 December 2011

Two Selections Today

Ballyfitz was well backed yesterday and was travelling well when making two horrendous mistakes down the back straight the 2nd of which resulted in a unseated rider. Whether he would have been in contention at the end of the race if he hadn’t made those mistakes is difficult to say. That’s now five successive loser over the past two weeks but I’m not going to panic and will be using the same approach to my selections and continue to looking for value. There are two meetings today at Musselburgh and Plumpton and for a Monday the cards are very good and there are two selections.
P&L at advised prices since 24/8 +27.42

Plumpton 1.10 Invictus 1PT WIN@2/1 B365 1st (7/4)
I am prepared to take on the Irish raider and favourite Gift Of Dgab in this five runner novice chase with Invictus for two reason. Firstly I was very impressed with his fencing debut at Hereford a couple of weeks ago where he got into a nice rhythm and fenced quick and accurately and could be called the winner along way from home and secondly the form of the Alan King stable (8 winners in the past fortnight) compared with the Tony Martin stable who have only managed one winner in the same period. Travelled and jumped well Choc went for a gap on brave gap on inside going into home turn which proved a winning move.

Musselburgh 1.20 Anna’s Arch 1PT WIN@9/4 Boylesports 4th (10/3)
Anna’s Arch was a blog selection back in August when very easily defying a penalty in a bumper at Bangor after being heavily backed. Two subsequent runs in bumpers failed to deliver a 3rd win( which is very difficult to achieve) and today he makes his novice hurdle debut in a very winnable race and from the market he has the ex winning flat racer Dimension to beat but I am always wary of flat horses starting their jumping careers at the age of 7. Weak in market and never travelling

4 comments:

  1. Kevin,
    I'm glad we are on the same wavelength with INVICTUS. I reckon 2/1 is value too, as in my book he's a 5/4 chance. But I don't generally advise wagers on my blog at less than 5/2.
    Ian (Wayward Lad)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Kevin

    Well done with your selection of Invictus. I Should have taken more notice when you and Ian were both providing compelling reasons to back him.

    I will not make that mistake again.

    Regards
    Mark

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Mark,

    Thanks for the comment. Its unusual for Ian and myself to agree and that what I love about this game it's all down to personal option.

    Regards,

    Kev

    ReplyDelete
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