Saturday, 29 October 2011

No bet today but two meetings at Carlisle and Huntingdon  tomorrow.  I’m off to Carlisle in the morning so have been reviewing the card most of the day and there are three selections I have backed.
P&L at advised prices since 24/8 +9.84

Carlisle1.20 1PT WIN Koup De Kanon @5/2 William Hill Winner (6/5F)
Koup De Kanon has a disappointing profile given the form of his first two runs last season. He has since left Emma Lavelle and is now with Donald McCain and in his excellent Betfair column he reckons this is his best bet of the weekend stating “He is one of the Timeform Betfair Racing Club horses and he showed a decent level of ability for Emma Lavelle in a bumper and over hurdles last season. He was due to run at Kelso a fortnight ago but wasn't quite right the night before so I took him out. This doesn't look a strong race and he has done everything nicely at home since we got him. He looks on a good mark and with Henry Brooke taking off another 5lb (and he is good value for it), he really ought to go very well”. Although the price appears skinny with the stable expectation it may look a good price after the race. As I have been writing this the horse has been backed in from an opening price of 3/1.

Carlisle 2.40 1/2PT E/W Captain Americo @9/1 Bet 365 4TH(6/1)
An ultra competitive three mile handicap chase that I expect to be run at a fair clip and Captain Americo is the one that catches my eye. Heavily backed on his seasonal debut at Kelso he never was really able to land a blow finishing 4th. The trainer stated after the races that the horse may have needed the run, so I am expecting a much improved run. With stable jockey Brian Hughes suspended Nick Schofield who has won on him before and is riding well, make his way North to ride him for the same owner as he won for at Ascot today.

Carlisle 3.15 1PT WIN Hidden Keel @6/5 William Hill 2ND (8/13F)
Although very short in the betting Hidden Keel is a horse I am really looking forward to seeing the flesh as I expect him to take a high ranking amongst the top chasers come the end of the season. A winner of a handicap hurdle and three novice chases last season he has the profile of an improving horse. The conditions of this race means that although the highest rated he gets weight from Gilbarry and Divers and with the form of the Charlie Longsdon yard I expect him to win this comfortably before going on to bigger and better things.

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